Kairon AIBefore the news
When a reported purchase is followed by a government contract or decision about the same company, the order of events is public record. Kairon puts them on one timeline and measures what someone following the disclosure could have earned.
Purchase, then government action
No such sequence in the last 120 days.
Unusual prediction-market bets
Large bets on outcomes the market considered unlikely, in politics, military and macro markets. Accounts are shortened and never attributed to a person. Kairon counts later whether the flagged side was right: No resolved case yet.
| Seen | Market | Outcome | Amount | Price | Criteria | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $9K | 16 % | longshot:16, usd:9488, few_markets:3 | open |
| 2026-10-11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $6K | 34 % | longshot:34, usd:5900, fresh_wallet:0.0, few_markets:2 | open |
| 2026-10-11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $3K | 33 % | longshot:33, usd:3300, fresh_wallet:0.1, few_markets:1 | open |
A reported trade is a fact from an official filing, not proof of wrongdoing. Many officials say their accounts are managed independently. We show the order of events, you judge.
See it live in the RadarWhat US officials reported buying and selling
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